Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (42.4% vs 43.3%). Schmaltz wins 45.5% vs right-shot opponents — Reaves shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schmaltz 42.6% vs Reaves 45.3% (-0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 53.3%
Defensive zone
Schmaltz 60.1%
Neutral zone
Reaves 52.6%
Result
Ryan Reaves favored at 52.6%
47.4%
52.6%
Schmaltz
Reaves
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Schmaltz
Reaves
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Schmaltz
Reaves
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schmaltz
Reaves
Edge
Even Strength
41.3% (3,431)
43.8% (217)
-2.5%
Power Play
47.3% (655)
36.8% (19)
+10.5%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (135)
50.0% (2)
-2.6%
On power play, Schmaltz has a +10.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reaves shoots right. Schmaltz is 45.5% vs right-shot opponents (1,172).
Schmaltz shoots right. Reaves is 50.8% vs right-shot opponents (63).
Home / Away
Schmaltz
Reaves
Home
42.8% (2,114)
46.8% (111)
Away
42.0% (2,107)
40.2% (127)
By Period
Schmaltz
Reaves
P1
41.3%
41.9%
P2
42.8%
40.4%
P3
43.1%
49.2%
Final 5 min
42.3%
34.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schmaltz
42.0%▼
46.0%
42.4%
Reaves
34.0%▼
42.5%
43.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2021 | 3 | 09:44 | Neutral | Ryan Reaves |
| Jan 20, 2021 | 3 | 02:52 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |