Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Henrique on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Henrique wins 53.9% vs right-shot opponents — Suzuki shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 53.5% vs Suzuki 50.6% (+3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Suzuki 69.3%
Defensive zone
Henrique 86.3%
Neutral zone
Henrique 60.4%
Result
Nick Suzuki favored at 53.4%
46.6%
53.4%
Henrique
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Henrique
Suzuki
Last 7: Henrique 5-2 Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
3
2
Henrique
Suzuki
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
2
0
Henrique
Suzuki
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (395)
51.3% (945)
+4.1%
Power Play
50.0% (22)
50.7% (282)
-0.7%
Penalty Kill
50.7% (134)
40.3% (67)
+10.4%
On penalty kill, Henrique has a +10.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Henrique is 53.9% vs right-shot opponents (180).
Henrique shoots left. Suzuki is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (976).
Home / Away
Henrique
Suzuki
Home
52.4% (227)
51.0% (637)
Away
55.2% (324)
50.2% (657)
By Period
Henrique
Suzuki
P1
57.0%
53.1%
P2
52.5%
47.4%
P3
52.4%
51.3%
OT
100.0%
48.6%
Final 5 min
47.8%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
50.0%▼
52.0%
54.1%
Suzuki
54.0%▼
56.5%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2025 | 3 | 13:22 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 3 | 13:16 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 3 | 02:47 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 2 | 02:17 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 1 | 10:19 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 2 | 07:02 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 2 | 03:35 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |