Connor McMichael vs Nick Suzuki

2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Nick Suzuki holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Suzuki on neutral-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings). McMichael wins 39.1% vs right-shot opponents — Suzuki shoots right.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) McMichael 43.9% vs Suzuki 50.6% (-7.8%)
H2H factor Suzuki leads 14-6 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone McMichael 81.4%
Defensive zone McMichael 91.1%
Neutral zone McMichael 84.3%
Result Connor McMichael favored at 86.0%
86.0%
14.0%
McMichael Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
6 - 14 (20 meetings)
6
14
McMichael Suzuki
Last 10: McMichael 1-9 Suzuki

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
1
4
McMichael Suzuki
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McMichael
4
3
McMichael Suzuki
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Suzuki
1
7
McMichael Suzuki
8 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
McMichael
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
42.9% (408)
51.3% (945)
-8.4%
Power Play
49.1% (55)
50.7% (282)
-1.6%
Penalty Kill
39.0% (105)
40.3% (67)
-1.3%
On even strength, Suzuki has a +8.4% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. McMichael is 39.1% vs right-shot opponents (192).
McMichael shoots left. Suzuki is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (976).
Home / Away
McMichael
Suzuki
Home
43.0% (298)
51.0% (637)
Away
42.6% (270)
50.2% (657)
By Period
McMichael
Suzuki
P1
46.6%
53.1%
P2
40.8%
47.4%
P3
41.8%
51.3%
Final 5 min
43.3%
49.1%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McMichael
38.0%
45.0%
42.8%
Suzuki
54.0%
56.5%
50.6%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Jan 13, 2026 3 18:06 Neutral Nick Suzuki
Jan 13, 2026 3 13:42 Offensive Nick Suzuki
Jan 13, 2026 3 00:00 Neutral Nick Suzuki
Jan 13, 2026 2 19:00 Offensive Nick Suzuki
Jan 13, 2026 2 18:27 Offensive Nick Suzuki
Jan 13, 2026 2 00:16 Defensive Nick Suzuki
Jan 13, 2026 2 00:00 Neutral Connor McMichael
Jan 13, 2026 1 14:06 Defensive Nick Suzuki
Jan 13, 2026 1 09:37 Defensive Nick Suzuki
Nov 20, 2025 3 10:01 Offensive Nick Suzuki
Nov 20, 2025 3 00:00 Neutral Nick Suzuki
Nov 20, 2025 2 18:42 Neutral Nick Suzuki
Nov 20, 2025 2 14:36 Offensive Connor McMichael
Nov 20, 2025 2 14:26 Neutral Nick Suzuki
Nov 20, 2025 2 02:00 Neutral Nick Suzuki
Nov 20, 2025 1 14:28 Defensive Connor McMichael
Nov 20, 2025 1 09:22 Defensive Connor McMichael
Nov 20, 2025 1 09:03 Defensive Connor McMichael
Nov 20, 2025 1 05:01 Defensive Connor McMichael
Nov 20, 2025 1 00:00 Neutral Nick Suzuki