Scouting Report
Nick Suzuki holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Suzuki on neutral-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings). McMichael wins 39.1% vs right-shot opponents — Suzuki shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McMichael 43.9% vs Suzuki 50.6% (-7.8%)
H2H factor
Suzuki leads 14-6 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
McMichael 81.4%
Defensive zone
McMichael 91.1%
Neutral zone
McMichael 84.3%
Result
Connor McMichael favored at 86.0%
86.0%
14.0%
McMichael
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
14
(20 meetings)
6
14
McMichael
Suzuki
Last 10: McMichael 1-9 Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
1
4
McMichael
Suzuki
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McMichael
4
3
McMichael
Suzuki
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Suzuki
1
7
McMichael
Suzuki
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McMichael
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
42.9% (408)
51.3% (945)
-8.4%
Power Play
49.1% (55)
50.7% (282)
-1.6%
Penalty Kill
39.0% (105)
40.3% (67)
-1.3%
On even strength, Suzuki has a +8.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. McMichael is 39.1% vs right-shot opponents (192).
McMichael shoots left. Suzuki is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (976).
Home / Away
McMichael
Suzuki
Home
43.0% (298)
51.0% (637)
Away
42.6% (270)
50.2% (657)
By Period
McMichael
Suzuki
P1
46.6%
53.1%
P2
40.8%
47.4%
P3
41.8%
51.3%
Final 5 min
43.3%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McMichael
38.0%▼
45.0%
42.8%
Suzuki
54.0%▼
56.5%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2026 | 3 | 18:06 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 3 | 13:42 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 2 | 19:00 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 2 | 18:27 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 2 | 00:16 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor McMichael |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 1 | 14:06 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 1 | 09:37 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 3 | 10:01 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 2 | 18:42 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 2 | 14:36 | Offensive | Connor McMichael |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 2 | 14:26 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 2 | 02:00 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 1 | 14:28 | Defensive | Connor McMichael |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 1 | 09:22 | Defensive | Connor McMichael |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 1 | 09:03 | Defensive | Connor McMichael |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 1 | 05:01 | Defensive | Connor McMichael |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |