Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.8% vs 49.3%). Look for Suzuki on neutral-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings). Domi wins 47.0% vs right-shot opponents — Suzuki shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Domi 48.8% vs Suzuki 49.4% (-0.5%)
H2H factor
Suzuki leads 21-8 in 29 meetings
Offensive zone
Domi 60.4%
Defensive zone
Domi 63.4%
Neutral zone
Domi 56.9%
Result
Max Domi favored at 60.6%
60.6%
39.4%
Domi
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
21
(29 meetings)
8
21
Domi
Suzuki
Last 10: Domi 3-7 Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
4
6
Domi
Suzuki
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
3
8
Domi
Suzuki
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Suzuki
1
7
Domi
Suzuki
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Domi
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (4,339)
49.4% (6,368)
-1.3%
Power Play
53.5% (636)
50.8% (1,355)
+2.7%
Penalty Kill
48.8% (41)
44.0% (466)
+4.8%
On penalty kill, Domi has a +4.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Domi is 47.0% vs right-shot opponents (1,646).
Domi shoots left. Suzuki is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,968).
Home / Away
Domi
Suzuki
Home
49.8% (2,614)
51.1% (4,031)
Away
47.8% (2,402)
47.7% (4,158)
By Period
Domi
Suzuki
P1
48.7%
48.9%
P2
48.3%
49.1%
P3
49.7%
50.3%
OT
43.5%
44.4%
Final 5 min
51.0%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Domi
46.0%▼
51.0%
48.8%
Suzuki
54.0%▼
56.5%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 1 | 02:29 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 3 | 00:41 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 1 | 13:33 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 3 | 13:11 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 3 | 10:16 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 3 | 04:31 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 3 | 04:26 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 1 | 11:53 | Defensive | Max Domi |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 3 | 15:00 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 3 | 10:02 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 3 | 02:14 | Defensive | Max Domi |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 2 | 01:11 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 1 | 16:38 | Defensive | Max Domi |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 1 | 12:55 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 1 | 04:44 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 1 | 01:01 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Feb 14, 2023 | 3 | 06:54 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Feb 14, 2023 | 3 | 04:12 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Feb 14, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |