Scouting Report
Nick Suzuki holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Dowd on defensive-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 48.8% vs Suzuki 50.6% (-1.9%)
H2H factor
Dowd leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Suzuki 92.5%
Defensive zone
Dowd 77.3%
Neutral zone
Suzuki 71.0%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 61.6%
61.6%
38.4%
Dowd
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
4
(12 meetings)
8
4
Dowd
Suzuki
Last 10: Dowd 7-3 Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Dowd
Suzuki
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
7
2
Dowd
Suzuki
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Suzuki
0
1
Dowd
Suzuki
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (666)
51.3% (945)
-0.1%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
50.7% (282)
-50.7%
Penalty Kill
41.5% (224)
40.3% (67)
+1.2%
On power play, Suzuki has a +50.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Dowd is 50.9% vs right-shot opponents (326).
Dowd shoots right. Suzuki is 54.1% vs right-shot opponents (318).
Home / Away
Dowd
Suzuki
Home
48.5% (466)
51.0% (637)
Away
48.8% (426)
50.2% (657)
By Period
Dowd
Suzuki
P1
48.4%
53.1%
P2
46.8%
47.4%
P3
51.3%
51.3%
OT
30.0%
48.6%
Final 5 min
51.3%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
40.0%▼
47.0%
48.7%
Suzuki
54.0%▼
56.5%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | 3 | 13:33 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 2 | 19:26 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 2 | 10:09 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 2 | 06:01 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 1 | 06:06 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 1 | 06:01 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 3 | 03:26 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 3 | 03:19 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 2 | 17:31 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 2 | 13:34 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 1 | 00:59 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |