Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +10.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on defensive-zone draws (64% H2H, 14 meetings). Suzuki wins 42.6% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Suzuki 44.6% vs Stastny 54.0% (-10.7%)
H2H factor
Stastny leads 21-12 in 33 meetings
Offensive zone
Suzuki 88.1%
Defensive zone
Suzuki 76.7%
Neutral zone
Suzuki 86.1%
Result
Nick Suzuki favored at 82.9%
82.9%
17.1%
Suzuki
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
21
(33 meetings)
12
21
Suzuki
Stastny
Last 10: Suzuki 4-6 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
6
7
Suzuki
Stastny
13 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
5
9
Suzuki
Stastny
14 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
1
5
Suzuki
Stastny
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Suzuki
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
43.8% (623)
52.5% (432)
-8.7%
Power Play
48.1% (129)
60.4% (154)
-12.3%
Penalty Kill
34.1% (44)
66.7% (6)
-32.6%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +32.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Suzuki is 42.6% vs left-shot opponents (615).
Suzuki shoots right. Stastny is 51.5% vs right-shot opponents (196).
Home / Away
Suzuki
Stastny
Home
44.8% (364)
58.3% (307)
Away
43.3% (432)
50.9% (285)
By Period
Suzuki
Stastny
P1
45.8%
57.4%
P2
42.3%
51.7%
P3
43.8%
54.5%
OT
50.0%
80.0%
Final 5 min
44.4%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Suzuki
48.0%▼
53.5%
44.0%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
54.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 30, 2021 | 2 | 13:44 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Apr 30, 2021 | 2 | 05:06 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Apr 30, 2021 | 2 | 04:58 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Apr 30, 2021 | 1 | 10:38 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Apr 30, 2021 | 1 | 08:47 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Apr 30, 2021 | 1 | 05:25 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Apr 10, 2021 | 3 | 09:04 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Apr 10, 2021 | 3 | 09:00 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Apr 10, 2021 | 2 | 13:28 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 17, 2021 | 3 | 12:47 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 17, 2021 | 3 | 06:44 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 17, 2021 | 2 | 07:18 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 17, 2021 | 2 | 03:57 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 15, 2021 | 3 | 16:38 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 15, 2021 | 3 | 15:07 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 15, 2021 | 3 | 01:24 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 15, 2021 | 1 | 10:58 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 6, 2021 | 3 | 07:04 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 6, 2021 | 1 | 08:14 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 6, 2021 | 1 | 06:24 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |