Scouting Report
Nicklas Backstrom holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Backstrom on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Shaw wins 45.4% vs left-shot opponents — Backstrom shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Shaw 47.7% vs Backstrom 48.7% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Shaw 57.9%
Defensive zone
Shaw 53.5%
Neutral zone
Shaw 56.8%
Result
Andrew Shaw favored at 55.9%
55.9%
44.1%
Shaw
Backstrom
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Shaw
Backstrom
Last 7: Shaw 2-5 Backstrom
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Shaw
2
1
Shaw
Backstrom
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backstrom
0
3
Shaw
Backstrom
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backstrom
0
1
Shaw
Backstrom
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Shaw
Backstrom
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (299)
48.5% (1,151)
-2.7%
Power Play
54.5% (66)
50.0% (176)
+4.5%
Penalty Kill
42.1% (19)
48.2% (112)
-6.1%
On penalty kill, Backstrom has a +6.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backstrom shoots left. Shaw is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (293).
Shaw shoots right. Backstrom is 45.5% vs right-shot opponents (550).
Home / Away
Shaw
Backstrom
Home
50.0% (152)
50.8% (783)
Away
45.3% (232)
46.0% (656)
By Period
Shaw
Backstrom
P1
44.8%
49.3%
P2
46.0%
46.6%
P3
50.4%
50.1%
Final 5 min
46.8%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Shaw
52.0%▲
48.5%
47.1%
Backstrom
50.0%▲
48.5%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2019 | 1 | 12:20 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Nov 19, 2018 | 1 | 18:32 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Nov 19, 2018 | 1 | 10:13 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Nov 19, 2018 | 1 | 07:45 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Nov 19, 2018 | 1 | 01:02 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Nov 1, 2018 | 3 | 01:43 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Nov 1, 2018 | 1 | 19:57 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |