Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Ryan on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Ryan wins 56.1% vs left-shot opponents — Backstrom shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 54.6% vs Backstrom 51.3% (+3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ryan 84.6%
Defensive zone
Ryan 68.9%
Neutral zone
Ryan 73.9%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 70.3%
70.3%
29.7%
Ryan
Backstrom
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Ryan
Backstrom
Last 7: Ryan 6-1 Backstrom
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
4
1
Ryan
Backstrom
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ryan
2
0
Ryan
Backstrom
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Backstrom
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (576)
52.5% (1,108)
+2.4%
Power Play
59.8% (112)
52.4% (164)
+7.4%
Penalty Kill
42.1% (19)
27.9% (61)
+14.2%
On penalty kill, Ryan has a +14.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backstrom shoots left. Ryan is 56.1% vs left-shot opponents (478).
Ryan shoots right. Backstrom is 50.3% vs right-shot opponents (505).
Home / Away
Ryan
Backstrom
Home
57.7% (355)
52.5% (642)
Away
52.8% (352)
50.4% (691)
By Period
Ryan
Backstrom
P1
57.9%
50.2%
P2
53.2%
51.4%
P3
54.8%
53.0%
OT
100.0%
41.2%
Final 5 min
51.6%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.3%
Backstrom
50.0%▲
48.5%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2017 | 3 | 08:16 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Feb 7, 2017 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Feb 7, 2017 | 2 | 05:02 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Feb 7, 2017 | 2 | 04:50 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 23, 2017 | 2 | 09:38 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 23, 2017 | 2 | 02:32 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Jan 23, 2017 | 1 | 17:22 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |