Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.7% vs 48.3%). Look for Backstrom on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 49.0% vs Backstrom 48.5% (+0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backstrom 61.1%
Defensive zone
Carter 59.5%
Neutral zone
Backstrom 55.4%
Result
Nicklas Backstrom favored at 51.3%
48.7%
51.3%
Carter
Backstrom
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Carter
Backstrom
Last 9: Carter 4-5 Backstrom
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backstrom
0
4
Carter
Backstrom
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
3
1
Carter
Backstrom
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
1
0
Carter
Backstrom
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Backstrom
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (242)
48.7% (635)
+0.9%
Power Play
59.1% (22)
42.0% (50)
+17.1%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (50)
50.0% (46)
-10.0%
On power play, Carter has a +17.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backstrom shoots left. Carter is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (199).
Carter shoots right. Backstrom is 45.2% vs right-shot opponents (354).
Home / Away
Carter
Backstrom
Home
48.6% (173)
48.0% (348)
Away
48.9% (141)
48.6% (383)
By Period
Carter
Backstrom
P1
52.1%
49.6%
P2
47.8%
48.2%
P3
46.6%
47.3%
OT
50.0%
37.5%
Final 5 min
48.1%
46.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
48.7%
Backstrom
50.0%▲
48.5%
48.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 1, 2021 | 2 | 16:11 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| May 1, 2021 | 2 | 13:57 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| May 1, 2021 | 2 | 00:26 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| May 1, 2021 | 1 | 00:46 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 29, 2021 | 2 | 18:59 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Apr 29, 2021 | 2 | 10:06 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 29, 2021 | 2 | 08:58 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Apr 29, 2021 | 2 | 03:47 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Apr 29, 2021 | 1 | 15:08 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |