Scouting Report
Brady Tkachuk holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Tkachuk wins 61.2% vs left-shot opponents — Hischier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 55.0% vs Hischier 55.4% (+1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 76.3%
Defensive zone
Hischier 86.9%
Neutral zone
Hischier 58.3%
Result
Nico Hischier favored at 55.9%
44.1%
55.9%
Tkachuk
Hischier
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Tkachuk
Hischier
Last 5: Tkachuk 3-2 Hischier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
2
0
Tkachuk
Hischier
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
0
2
Tkachuk
Hischier
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
1
0
Tkachuk
Hischier
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Hischier
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (153)
55.5% (1,172)
-0.6%
Power Play
59.4% (106)
64.5% (265)
-5.1%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
43.9% (164)
+56.1%
On penalty kill, Tkachuk has a +56.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hischier shoots left. Tkachuk is 61.2% vs left-shot opponents (183).
Tkachuk shoots left. Hischier is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,026).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Hischier
Home
50.8% (128)
56.8% (791)
Away
62.9% (132)
54.8% (810)
By Period
Tkachuk
Hischier
P1
56.6%
56.0%
P2
58.9%
58.6%
P3
56.2%
53.5%
OT
50.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
55.2%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
54.0%▼
58.5%
56.9%
Hischier
66.0%▲
58.0%
55.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | 3 | 08:31 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 3 | 00:18 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 1 | 17:06 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 2 | 00:11 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 1 | 09:43 | Neutral | Brady Tkachuk |