Nico Hischier vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nico Hischier holds a +9.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Nugent-Hopkins on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Hischier wins 55.0% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hischier 55.4% vs Nugent-Hopkins 47.3% (+9.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 85.6%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 89.3%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 85.5%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 85.5%
14.5%
85.5%
Hischier
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
7
(8 meetings)
1
7
Hischier
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 8: Hischier 1-7 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
0
2
Hischier
Nugent-Hopkins
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
1
5
Hischier
Nugent-Hopkins
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hischier
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
55.5% (1,172)
46.0% (250)
+9.5%
Power Play
64.5% (265)
70.6% (17)
-6.1%
Penalty Kill
43.9% (164)
31.8% (22)
+12.1%
On penalty kill, Hischier has a +12.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Hischier is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,026).
Hischier shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (185).
Home / Away
Hischier
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
56.8% (791)
50.3% (175)
Away
54.8% (810)
40.4% (114)
By Period
Hischier
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
56.0%
48.5%
P2
58.6%
45.9%
P3
53.5%
46.5%
OT
33.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
54.0%
41.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hischier
66.0%▲
58.0%
55.8%
Nugent-Hopkins
42.0%▼
48.5%
46.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2026 | 3 | 16:20 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 2 | 15:00 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 2 | 05:38 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 2 | 05:23 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 2 | 01:16 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 1 | 06:12 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 1 | 04:33 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 1 | 00:32 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |