Scouting Report
Jack Drury holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Drury on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Drury wins 64.4% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Drury 58.1% vs Roy 51.9% (+6.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Drury 88.5%
Defensive zone
Drury 81.4%
Neutral zone
Drury 93.7%
Result
Jack Drury favored at 88.4%
88.4%
11.6%
Drury
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
1
(8 meetings)
7
1
Drury
Roy
Last 8: Drury 7-1 Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Drury
1
0
Drury
Roy
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Drury
2
1
Drury
Roy
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Drury
4
0
Drury
Roy
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Drury
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
61.3% (690)
51.9% (547)
+9.4%
Power Play
40.0% (10)
54.1% (37)
-14.1%
Penalty Kill
50.9% (165)
53.3% (92)
-2.4%
On power play, Roy has a +14.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Drury is 64.4% vs right-shot opponents (334).
Drury shoots left. Roy is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (464).
Home / Away
Drury
Roy
Home
59.0% (417)
54.0% (328)
Away
59.2% (448)
50.6% (348)
By Period
Drury
Roy
P1
58.9%
53.5%
P2
58.3%
51.6%
P3
59.9%
51.6%
Final 5 min
51.6%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Drury
72.0%▲
59.0%
59.1%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2026 | 3 | 17:41 | Neutral | Jack Drury |
| Jan 25, 2026 | 3 | 01:42 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 25, 2026 | 2 | 05:13 | Neutral | Jack Drury |
| Jan 25, 2026 | 2 | 05:06 | Defensive | Jack Drury |
| Jan 25, 2026 | 2 | 01:57 | Neutral | Jack Drury |
| Jan 12, 2026 | 2 | 02:12 | Neutral | Jack Drury |
| Jan 12, 2026 | 2 | 02:05 | Offensive | Jack Drury |
| Jan 12, 2026 | 1 | 18:43 | Defensive | Jack Drury |