Scouting Report
Mark Jankowski holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Jankowski on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Jankowski wins 54.7% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jankowski 53.1% vs Roy 51.9% (+1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jankowski 86.2%
Defensive zone
Roy 57.4%
Neutral zone
Jankowski 65.1%
Result
Mark Jankowski favored at 64.7%
64.7%
35.3%
Jankowski
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Jankowski
Roy
Last 7: Jankowski 6-1 Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jankowski
2
0
Jankowski
Roy
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Jankowski
Roy
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jankowski
3
0
Jankowski
Roy
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jankowski
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (555)
51.9% (547)
+1.8%
Power Play
50.0% (14)
54.1% (37)
-4.1%
Penalty Kill
54.3% (46)
53.3% (92)
+1.0%
On power play, Roy has a +4.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Jankowski is 54.7% vs right-shot opponents (236).
Jankowski shoots left. Roy is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (464).
Home / Away
Jankowski
Roy
Home
53.2% (331)
54.0% (328)
Away
54.2% (284)
50.6% (348)
By Period
Jankowski
Roy
P1
52.7%
53.5%
P2
55.8%
51.6%
P3
52.5%
51.6%
Final 5 min
54.2%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jankowski
52.0%▲
50.0%
53.7%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2025 | 3 | 14:06 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 3 | 13:59 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 3 | 07:17 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 2 | 12:19 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 2 | 04:44 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 1 | 15:51 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 1 | 10:58 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |