Scouting Report
Nick Foligno holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Roy on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Foligno 52.0% vs Roy 47.2% (+5.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Foligno 83.0%
Defensive zone
Roy 76.7%
Neutral zone
Foligno 62.3%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 57.0%
43.0%
57.0%
Foligno
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Foligno
Roy
Last 5: Foligno 3-2 Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
1
0
Foligno
Roy
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
1
2
Foligno
Roy
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Foligno
1
0
Foligno
Roy
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Foligno
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (249)
47.5% (617)
+5.9%
Power Play
53.2% (154)
39.6% (53)
+13.6%
Penalty Kill
40.6% (32)
46.4% (97)
-5.8%
On power play, Foligno has a +13.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Foligno is 47.4% vs right-shot opponents (192).
Foligno shoots left. Roy is 45.0% vs left-shot opponents (593).
Home / Away
Foligno
Roy
Home
57.3% (225)
47.2% (398)
Away
47.1% (210)
46.3% (369)
By Period
Foligno
Roy
P1
53.0%
48.6%
P2
51.8%
48.8%
P3
52.6%
43.9%
Final 5 min
53.3%
45.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Foligno
40.0%▼
51.0%
52.4%
Roy
54.0%▲
52.0%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 16, 2024 | 3 | 18:00 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Apr 16, 2024 | 3 | 14:08 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Apr 16, 2024 | 3 | 05:19 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Apr 16, 2024 | 1 | 18:12 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Apr 16, 2024 | 1 | 09:58 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |