Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +12.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Bozak on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 46.0% vs Bozak 55.4% (-12.0%)
H2H factor
Bozak leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Roy 71.3%
Defensive zone
Roy 74.8%
Neutral zone
Roy 73.3%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 73.8%
73.8%
26.2%
Roy
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
8
(10 meetings)
2
8
Roy
Bozak
Last 10: Roy 2-8 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
0
3
Roy
Bozak
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bozak
2
5
Roy
Bozak
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
41.5% (275)
58.3% (271)
-16.8%
Power Play
81.8% (11)
60.6% (33)
+21.2%
Penalty Kill
61.3% (31)
50.0% (78)
+11.3%
On power play, Roy has a +21.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Roy is 47.3% vs right-shot opponents (91).
Roy shoots right. Bozak is 62.5% vs right-shot opponents (104).
Home / Away
Roy
Bozak
Home
46.1% (167)
60.7% (206)
Away
43.3% (150)
52.3% (176)
By Period
Roy
Bozak
P1
46.7%
57.3%
P2
38.5%
57.8%
P3
50.5%
56.2%
Final 5 min
42.6%
54.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
54.0%▲
52.0%
44.8%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
56.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 8, 2021 | 3 | 01:38 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| May 8, 2021 | 1 | 13:32 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| May 7, 2021 | 2 | 12:21 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| May 7, 2021 | 2 | 09:48 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 7, 2021 | 3 | 05:58 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 5, 2021 | 3 | 19:45 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Apr 5, 2021 | 3 | 19:42 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 5, 2021 | 3 | 18:09 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 5, 2021 | 2 | 13:00 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 26, 2021 | 1 | 15:11 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |