Scouting Report
Noah Cates holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Aman on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Aman wins 39.5% vs left-shot opponents — Cates shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Aman 41.1% vs Cates 43.2% (-3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cates 66.0%
Defensive zone
Cates 61.6%
Neutral zone
Cates 76.2%
Result
Noah Cates favored at 68.7%
31.3%
68.7%
Aman
Cates
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Aman
Cates
Last 8: Aman 6-2 Cates
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aman
2
1
Aman
Cates
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Aman
2
0
Aman
Cates
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Aman
2
1
Aman
Cates
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Aman
Cates
Edge
Even Strength
40.2% (664)
44.1% (2,786)
-3.9%
Power Play
33.3% (9)
42.9% (254)
-9.6%
Penalty Kill
34.3% (35)
34.9% (373)
-0.6%
On power play, Cates has a +9.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cates shoots left. Aman is 39.5% vs left-shot opponents (473).
Aman shoots left. Cates is 41.9% vs left-shot opponents (2,307).
Home / Away
Aman
Cates
Home
39.6% (341)
43.9% (1,708)
Away
40.1% (367)
42.2% (1,705)
By Period
Aman
Cates
P1
41.9%
44.5%
P2
42.1%
43.7%
P3
35.5%
41.2%
Final 5 min
36.5%
41.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Aman
38.0%▼
40.5%
39.8%
Cates
50.0%▲
45.5%
43.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2023 | 3 | 18:03 | Neutral | Nils Aman |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 3 | 05:22 | Neutral | Noah Cates |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 2 | 17:28 | Neutral | Nils Aman |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 2 | 16:04 | Offensive | Nils Aman |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 2 | 06:10 | Defensive | Nils Aman |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 2 | 06:04 | Offensive | Noah Cates |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 3 | 16:55 | Offensive | Nils Aman |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 3 | 12:49 | Defensive | Nils Aman |