Scouting Report
Connor Zary holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall. Zary wins 45.0% vs left-shot opponents — Gregor shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zary 47.1% vs Gregor 46.4% (+7.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zary 53.0%
Defensive zone
Zary 60.7%
Neutral zone
Zary 53.7%
Result
Connor Zary favored at 53.7%
53.7%
46.3%
Zary
Gregor
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Zary
Gregor
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zary
1
0
Zary
Gregor
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zary
Gregor
Edge
Even Strength
47.1% (136)
36.8% (38)
+10.3%
Power Play
31.6% (19)
50.0% (2)
-18.4%
On power play, Gregor has a +18.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gregor shoots left. Zary is 45.0% vs left-shot opponents (80).
Zary shoots left. Gregor is 34.6% vs left-shot opponents (26).
Home / Away
Zary
Gregor
Home
45.6% (79)
40.7% (27)
Away
44.7% (76)
30.8% (13)
By Period
Zary
Gregor
P1
48.3%
42.9%
P2
46.3%
21.4%
P3
39.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
47.1%
44.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zary
50.0%▲
46.0%
45.2%
Gregor
40.0%▲
36.0%
37.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 28, 2025 | 2 | 18:44 | Neutral | Connor Zary |