Scouting Report
Dustin Penner holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Penner wins 39.9% vs left-shot opponents — Gregor shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Penner 43.3% vs Gregor 40.4% (+5.6%)
Offensive zone
Penner 52.2%
Defensive zone
Penner 51.1%
Neutral zone
Gregor 50.1%
Result
Dustin Penner favored at 51.1%
51.1%
48.9%
Penner
Gregor
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Penner
Gregor
Edge
Even Strength
40.7% (214)
36.6% (202)
+4.1%
Power Play
45.5% (112)
28.6% (14)
+16.9%
Penalty Kill
36.7% (60)
0.0% (1)
+36.7%
On penalty kill, Penner has a +36.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gregor shoots left. Penner is 39.9% vs left-shot opponents (258).
Penner shoots left. Gregor is 34.1% vs left-shot opponents (126).
Home / Away
Penner
Gregor
Home
44.4% (207)
36.2% (116)
Away
38.3% (183)
35.6% (101)
By Period
Penner
Gregor
P1
36.1%
36.8%
P2
36.6%
28.0%
P3
53.6%
45.5%
OT
25.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
46.2%
40.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Penner
34.0%▼
42.0%
41.5%
Gregor
40.0%▲
36.0%
35.9%