Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (36.1% vs 35.9%). Hayes wins 34.6% vs left-shot opponents — Gregor shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 40.2% vs Gregor 40.4% (+0.2%)
Offensive zone
Hayes 55.8%
Defensive zone
Gregor 53.3%
Neutral zone
Hayes 52.0%
Result
Jimmy Hayes favored at 51.5%
51.5%
48.5%
Hayes
Gregor
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Gregor
Edge
Even Strength
36.1% (202)
36.6% (202)
-0.5%
Power Play
34.3% (35)
28.6% (14)
+5.7%
On power play, Hayes has a +5.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gregor shoots left. Hayes is 34.6% vs left-shot opponents (159).
Hayes shoots right. Gregor is 38.5% vs right-shot opponents (91).
Home / Away
Hayes
Gregor
Home
34.7% (124)
36.2% (116)
Away
37.7% (114)
35.6% (101)
By Period
Hayes
Gregor
P1
38.6%
36.8%
P2
26.5%
28.0%
P3
43.5%
45.5%
Final 5 min
30.2%
40.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
28.0%▼
35.5%
36.1%
Gregor
40.0%▲
36.0%
35.9%