Scouting Report
Ryan Hartman holds a +9.4% FO% edge overall. Gregor wins 38.5% vs right-shot opponents — Hartman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gregor 40.4% vs Hartman 45.4% (-9.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gregor 77.5%
Defensive zone
Gregor 73.0%
Neutral zone
Gregor 75.2%
Result
Noah Gregor favored at 74.1%
74.1%
25.9%
Gregor
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
4
(4 meetings)
0
4
Gregor
Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
0
2
Gregor
Hartman
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hartman
0
2
Gregor
Hartman
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gregor
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
36.6% (202)
45.2% (4,279)
-8.6%
Power Play
28.6% (14)
47.3% (446)
-18.7%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
42.4% (262)
-42.4%
On penalty kill, Hartman has a +42.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Gregor is 38.5% vs right-shot opponents (91).
Gregor shoots left. Hartman is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (3,596).
Home / Away
Gregor
Hartman
Home
36.2% (116)
46.7% (2,589)
Away
35.6% (101)
43.7% (2,398)
By Period
Gregor
Hartman
P1
36.8%
46.1%
P2
28.0%
42.9%
P3
45.5%
46.7%
OT
0.0%
53.8%
Final 5 min
40.8%
46.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gregor
40.0%▲
36.0%
35.9%
Hartman
50.0%▬
50.0%
45.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2023 | 1 | 17:23 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Apr 17, 2022 | 1 | 10:14 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Feb 22, 2021 | 2 | 10:48 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Feb 22, 2021 | 2 | 03:23 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |