Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Laba on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 56.7% vs Laba 50.7% (+6.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Laba 65.0%
Defensive zone
Laba 88.6%
Neutral zone
Laba 78.3%
Result
Noah Laba favored at 83.5%
16.5%
83.5%
Tavares
Laba
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Tavares
Laba
Last 8: Tavares 2-6 Laba
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Laba
0
4
Tavares
Laba
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Tavares
Laba
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Laba
Edge
Even Strength
57.7% (956)
51.0% (522)
+6.7%
Power Play
55.7% (244)
47.6% (21)
+8.1%
Penalty Kill
52.2% (23)
51.4% (37)
+0.8%
On power play, Tavares has a +8.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Laba shoots right. Tavares is 50.8% vs right-shot opponents (437).
Tavares shoots left. Laba is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (415).
Home / Away
Tavares
Laba
Home
57.4% (636)
50.4% (276)
Away
57.1% (587)
51.3% (304)
By Period
Tavares
Laba
P1
57.1%
55.7%
P2
57.0%
46.3%
P3
57.6%
50.3%
OT
57.7%
0.0%
Final 5 min
56.6%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
44.0%▼
52.5%
57.2%
Laba
44.0%▼
49.5%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2026 | 3 | 11:24 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Mar 5, 2026 | 3 | 11:19 | Neutral | Noah Laba |
| Mar 5, 2026 | 3 | 08:45 | Defensive | Noah Laba |
| Mar 5, 2026 | 3 | 06:45 | Neutral | Noah Laba |
| Mar 5, 2026 | 3 | 06:26 | Defensive | Noah Laba |
| Mar 5, 2026 | 2 | 10:29 | Defensive | Noah Laba |
| Mar 5, 2026 | 2 | 05:27 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Mar 5, 2026 | 1 | 19:48 | Defensive | Noah Laba |