Scouting Report
Noel Acciari holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Wagner wins 46.3% vs right-shot opponents — Acciari shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wagner 49.0% vs Acciari 51.3% (-2.4%)
Offensive zone
Wagner 66.5%
Defensive zone
Acciari 60.5%
Neutral zone
Wagner 50.2%
Result
Chris Wagner favored at 52.1%
52.1%
47.9%
Wagner
Acciari
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wagner
Acciari
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (1,243)
52.8% (3,296)
-2.0%
Power Play
40.0% (20)
48.3% (87)
-8.3%
Penalty Kill
42.0% (307)
47.0% (1,073)
-5.0%
On power play, Acciari has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Acciari shoots right. Wagner is 46.3% vs right-shot opponents (408).
Wagner shoots right. Acciari is 49.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,194).
Home / Away
Wagner
Acciari
Home
49.8% (817)
51.9% (2,139)
Away
47.9% (753)
50.7% (2,317)
By Period
Wagner
Acciari
P1
48.6%
52.3%
P2
48.6%
51.5%
P3
49.5%
50.3%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.2%
51.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wagner
40.0%▼
49.5%
48.9%
Acciari
44.0%▼
45.5%
51.3%