Nathan MacKinnon vs Noel Acciari
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Noel Acciari holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKinnon on offensive-zone draws (89% H2H, 9 meetings). MacKinnon wins 46.1% vs right-shot opponents — Acciari shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 46.8% vs Acciari 51.2% (-4.5%)
H2H factor
MacKinnon leads 16-9 in 25 meetings
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 71.1%
Defensive zone
Acciari 90.8%
Neutral zone
Acciari 73.1%
Result
Noel Acciari favored at 60.8%
39.2%
60.8%
MacKinnon
Acciari
Head-to-Head Record
16
-
9
(25 meetings)
16
9
MacKinnon
Acciari
Last 10: MacKinnon 6-4 Acciari
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
8
1
MacKinnon
Acciari
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
3
2
MacKinnon
Acciari
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Acciari
5
6
MacKinnon
Acciari
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Acciari
Edge
Even Strength
46.1% (11,264)
52.8% (3,304)
-6.7%
Power Play
53.2% (1,421)
48.3% (87)
+4.9%
Penalty Kill
42.8% (502)
47.0% (1,073)
-4.2%
On even strength, Acciari has a +6.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Acciari shoots right. MacKinnon is 46.1% vs right-shot opponents (3,651).
MacKinnon shoots right. Acciari is 49.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,196).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Acciari
Home
49.7% (6,471)
51.9% (2,139)
Away
43.9% (6,717)
50.7% (2,325)
By Period
MacKinnon
Acciari
P1
47.4%
52.3%
P2
46.6%
51.5%
P3
46.1%
50.2%
OT
48.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.1%
51.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
44.0%▼
50.5%
46.8%
Acciari
44.0%▬
44.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2026 | 3 | 08:15 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 16, 2026 | 3 | 10:59 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |
| Mar 16, 2026 | 1 | 13:15 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 16, 2026 | 1 | 13:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 16, 2026 | 1 | 06:14 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 2 | 13:26 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 1 | 07:30 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 2 | 06:58 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 3 | 14:48 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 3 | 14:42 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 3 | 12:25 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 3 | 09:40 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 3 | 03:20 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 2 | 16:52 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 2 | 16:27 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 1 | 15:46 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 1 | 07:45 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 14, 2022 | 3 | 09:34 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Oct 30, 2019 | 2 | 06:58 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 30, 2019 | 2 | 04:05 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |