Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Acciari on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Acciari 51.0% vs Couturier 53.6% (-2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Couturier 94.7%
Defensive zone
Couturier 61.3%
Neutral zone
Couturier 77.0%
Result
Sean Couturier favored at 68.0%
32.0%
68.0%
Acciari
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Acciari
Couturier
Last 5: Acciari 4-1 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
0
1
Acciari
Couturier
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Acciari
4
0
Acciari
Couturier
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Acciari
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (305)
53.9% (792)
-0.8%
Power Play
33.3% (18)
62.9% (70)
-29.6%
Penalty Kill
49.7% (195)
51.3% (234)
-1.6%
On power play, Couturier has a +29.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Acciari is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (403).
Acciari shoots right. Couturier is 55.9% vs right-shot opponents (395).
Home / Away
Acciari
Couturier
Home
52.6% (291)
51.4% (541)
Away
49.3% (227)
56.4% (555)
By Period
Acciari
Couturier
P1
54.0%
56.0%
P2
51.1%
52.6%
P3
48.8%
54.3%
OT
42.9%
44.1%
Final 5 min
52.3%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Acciari
44.0%▼
45.5%
51.2%
Couturier
64.0%▲
56.0%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2026 | 3 | 00:52 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 1 | 02:58 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 28, 2025 | OT | 03:14 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 2 | 19:24 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 2 | 14:27 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |