Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Nolan Patrick
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Patrick on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Pageau wins 53.0% vs right-shot opponents — Patrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 54.8% vs Patrick 51.0% (+3.9%)
H2H factor
Patrick leads 15-8 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
Patrick 86.8%
Defensive zone
Patrick 64.7%
Neutral zone
Patrick 79.0%
Result
Nolan Patrick favored at 77.0%
23.0%
77.0%
Pageau
Patrick
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
15
(23 meetings)
8
15
Pageau
Patrick
Last 10: Pageau 5-5 Patrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Patrick
1
6
Pageau
Patrick
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Patrick
3
4
Pageau
Patrick
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Patrick
4
5
Pageau
Patrick
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Patrick
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (9,525)
50.6% (1,978)
+5.2%
Power Play
57.0% (1,008)
57.5% (120)
-0.5%
Penalty Kill
49.6% (2,077)
57.7% (26)
-8.1%
On penalty kill, Patrick has a +8.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Patrick shoots right. Pageau is 53.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,739).
Pageau shoots right. Patrick is 54.2% vs right-shot opponents (683).
Home / Away
Pageau
Patrick
Home
56.3% (6,267)
49.7% (1,106)
Away
53.4% (6,343)
52.5% (1,018)
By Period
Pageau
Patrick
P1
54.7%
52.9%
P2
56.3%
49.1%
P3
53.5%
51.3%
OT
54.4%
40.0%
Final 5 min
53.9%
51.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
60.0%▬
60.0%
54.9%
Patrick
36.0%▼
49.5%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2021 | 3 | 04:17 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Apr 8, 2021 | 2 | 03:22 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Apr 8, 2021 | 1 | 13:53 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Apr 3, 2021 | 2 | 11:54 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 22, 2021 | 2 | 17:56 | Neutral | Nolan Patrick |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 3 | 14:08 | Neutral | Nolan Patrick |
| Mar 18, 2021 | 2 | 12:23 | Offensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Mar 18, 2021 | 2 | 09:27 | Offensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Mar 18, 2021 | 2 | 02:26 | Neutral | Nolan Patrick |
| Jan 31, 2021 | 2 | 17:43 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 31, 2021 | 1 | 10:54 | Offensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Jan 30, 2021 | 3 | 07:30 | Defensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Jan 30, 2021 | 2 | 01:43 | Defensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Jan 30, 2021 | 1 | 05:41 | Offensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Jan 30, 2021 | 1 | 03:57 | Offensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Mar 11, 2019 | 1 | 07:40 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 24, 2018 | 3 | 15:34 | Offensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Feb 3, 2018 | 3 | 12:18 | Neutral | Nolan Patrick |
| Feb 3, 2018 | 3 | 12:13 | Neutral | Nolan Patrick |
| Feb 3, 2018 | 2 | 12:05 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |