Scouting Report
Nolan Patrick holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Rooney on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rooney 49.5% vs Patrick 51.1% (-1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Patrick 69.0%
Defensive zone
Rooney 51.5%
Neutral zone
Patrick 52.8%
Result
Nolan Patrick favored at 59.3%
40.7%
59.3%
Rooney
Patrick
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Rooney
Patrick
Last 5: Rooney 3-2 Patrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Patrick
0
2
Rooney
Patrick
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rooney
3
0
Rooney
Patrick
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rooney
Patrick
Edge
Even Strength
48.2% (334)
50.8% (732)
-2.6%
Power Play
40.0% (5)
57.8% (45)
-17.8%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (40)
50.0% (2)
+10.0%
On power play, Patrick has a +17.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Patrick shoots right. Rooney is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (122).
Rooney shoots left. Patrick is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (574).
Home / Away
Rooney
Patrick
Home
52.0% (198)
51.5% (388)
Away
46.4% (181)
50.9% (391)
By Period
Rooney
Patrick
P1
55.3%
53.7%
P2
40.3%
48.2%
P3
55.1%
52.5%
OT
0.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
50.5%
49.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rooney
40.0%▼
47.0%
49.3%
Patrick
36.0%▼
49.5%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2019 | 3 | 06:33 | Neutral | Kevin Rooney |
| Oct 20, 2018 | 3 | 02:32 | Neutral | Kevin Rooney |
| Oct 20, 2018 | 3 | 02:25 | Neutral | Kevin Rooney |
| Oct 20, 2018 | 3 | 00:28 | Offensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Oct 20, 2018 | 1 | 11:49 | Offensive | Nolan Patrick |