Scouting Report
Adam Burish holds a +9.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Jokinen on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 9 meetings). Burish wins 55.2% vs left-shot opponents — Jokinen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Burish 54.6% vs Jokinen 46.8% (+9.3%)
H2H factor
Jokinen leads 10-5 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Jokinen 81.8%
Defensive zone
Jokinen 76.2%
Neutral zone
Jokinen 80.8%
Result
Olli Jokinen favored at 79.9%
20.1%
79.9%
Burish
Jokinen
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
10
(15 meetings)
5
10
Burish
Jokinen
Last 10: Burish 3-7 Jokinen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jokinen
3
6
Burish
Jokinen
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jokinen
2
3
Burish
Jokinen
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jokinen
0
1
Burish
Jokinen
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Burish
Jokinen
Edge
Even Strength
57.8% (282)
46.8% (1,017)
+11.0%
Power Play
52.0% (25)
47.6% (185)
+4.4%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (80)
40.7% (113)
+9.3%
On even strength, Burish has a +11.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jokinen shoots left. Burish is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (299).
Burish shoots right. Jokinen is 45.9% vs right-shot opponents (444).
Home / Away
Burish
Jokinen
Home
60.7% (183)
47.1% (652)
Away
51.5% (206)
46.0% (681)
By Period
Burish
Jokinen
P1
53.3%
43.8%
P2
56.3%
49.5%
P3
57.5%
44.6%
Final 5 min
61.9%
45.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Burish
52.0%▬
53.0%
55.8%
Jokinen
38.0%▼
42.5%
46.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2012 | 2 | 13:37 | Offensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Mar 26, 2012 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Olli Jokinen |
| Mar 26, 2012 | 1 | 14:05 | Defensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Mar 26, 2012 | 1 | 05:51 | Offensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Mar 24, 2012 | 2 | 12:10 | Offensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Mar 4, 2012 | 3 | 15:41 | Offensive | Adam Burish |
| Mar 4, 2012 | 3 | 14:51 | Defensive | Adam Burish |
| Mar 4, 2012 | 2 | 19:46 | Offensive | Adam Burish |
| Mar 4, 2012 | 2 | 17:47 | Defensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Mar 4, 2012 | 2 | 10:59 | Defensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Mar 4, 2012 | 1 | 13:08 | Defensive | Adam Burish |
| Mar 4, 2012 | 1 | 04:29 | Offensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Mar 4, 2012 | 1 | 04:01 | Offensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Feb 16, 2012 | 3 | 12:47 | Offensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Feb 16, 2012 | 3 | 05:28 | Offensive | Adam Burish |