Scouting Report
Brad Richards holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Richards on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richards 50.5% vs Jokinen 47.9% (+3.0%)
H2H factor
Richards leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Richards 74.4%
Defensive zone
Richards 61.8%
Neutral zone
Richards 59.7%
Result
Brad Richards favored at 67.0%
67.0%
33.0%
Richards
Jokinen
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
4
(11 meetings)
7
4
Richards
Jokinen
Last 10: Richards 6-4 Jokinen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Richards
3
2
Richards
Jokinen
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Richards
3
0
Richards
Jokinen
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jokinen
1
2
Richards
Jokinen
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richards
Jokinen
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (655)
46.8% (566)
+4.2%
Power Play
49.1% (106)
53.4% (58)
-4.3%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (12)
80.0% (5)
-38.3%
On penalty kill, Jokinen has a +38.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jokinen shoots left. Richards is 50.6% vs left-shot opponents (451).
Richards shoots left. Jokinen is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (416).
Home / Away
Richards
Jokinen
Home
51.9% (397)
49.5% (319)
Away
49.2% (376)
45.7% (311)
By Period
Richards
Jokinen
P1
47.1%
49.1%
P2
54.2%
47.9%
P3
50.0%
46.4%
OT
56.3%
33.3%
Final 5 min
48.2%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richards
46.0%▼
49.5%
50.6%
Jokinen
38.0%▼
42.5%
47.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2013 | 3 | 12:51 | Defensive | Brad Richards |
| Apr 1, 2013 | 3 | 03:44 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Apr 1, 2013 | 3 | 00:37 | Neutral | Olli Jokinen |
| Mar 14, 2013 | 3 | 12:20 | Neutral | Brad Richards |
| Mar 14, 2013 | 3 | 09:43 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Mar 14, 2013 | 3 | 09:22 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Mar 14, 2013 | 2 | 19:26 | Offensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Mar 14, 2013 | 2 | 08:25 | Defensive | Brad Richards |
| Feb 26, 2013 | 3 | 11:54 | Offensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Feb 26, 2013 | 3 | 09:37 | Neutral | Olli Jokinen |
| Feb 26, 2013 | 2 | 00:56 | Defensive | Brad Richards |