Scouting Report
Oskar Sundqvist holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Sundqvist on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Carlsson wins 41.6% vs right-shot opponents — Sundqvist shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carlsson 42.4% vs Sundqvist 46.1% (-4.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carlsson 51.0%
Defensive zone
Sundqvist 79.7%
Neutral zone
Sundqvist 64.4%
Result
Oskar Sundqvist favored at 66.9%
33.1%
66.9%
Carlsson
Sundqvist
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Carlsson
Sundqvist
Last 6: Carlsson 4-2 Sundqvist
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carlsson
1
0
Carlsson
Sundqvist
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carlsson
2
0
Carlsson
Sundqvist
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sundqvist
1
2
Carlsson
Sundqvist
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carlsson
Sundqvist
Edge
Even Strength
41.8% (648)
45.0% (500)
-3.2%
Power Play
37.3% (51)
54.5% (22)
-17.2%
Penalty Kill
38.7% (31)
46.0% (50)
-7.3%
On power play, Sundqvist has a +17.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sundqvist shoots right. Carlsson is 41.6% vs right-shot opponents (185).
Carlsson shoots left. Sundqvist is 44.5% vs left-shot opponents (425).
Home / Away
Carlsson
Sundqvist
Home
44.5% (362)
45.5% (255)
Away
38.3% (368)
45.4% (317)
By Period
Carlsson
Sundqvist
P1
46.3%
40.9%
P2
35.1%
46.9%
P3
43.9%
48.4%
OT
33.3%
66.7%
Final 5 min
43.9%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carlsson
40.0%▼
43.5%
41.4%
Sundqvist
44.0%▼
49.5%
45.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2025 | 3 | 10:22 | Offensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Mar 7, 2025 | 2 | 12:08 | Neutral | Leo Carlsson |
| Mar 7, 2025 | 2 | 02:47 | Neutral | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Mar 7, 2025 | 1 | 06:35 | Defensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 2 | 01:10 | Defensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 1 | 06:40 | Neutral | Oskar Sundqvist |