Scouting Report
Luke Kunin holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Kunin wins 41.9% vs right-shot opponents — Sundqvist shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kunin 50.3% vs Sundqvist 47.6% (+3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sundqvist 59.5%
Defensive zone
Sundqvist 63.7%
Neutral zone
Sundqvist 61.0%
Result
Oskar Sundqvist favored at 60.5%
39.5%
60.5%
Kunin
Sundqvist
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
3
(3 meetings)
0
3
Kunin
Sundqvist
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sundqvist
0
1
Kunin
Sundqvist
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sundqvist
0
2
Kunin
Sundqvist
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kunin
Sundqvist
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (305)
46.8% (301)
+4.7%
Power Play
55.6% (9)
80.0% (10)
-24.4%
Penalty Kill
43.9% (57)
43.5% (85)
+0.4%
On power play, Sundqvist has a +24.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sundqvist shoots right. Kunin is 41.9% vs right-shot opponents (93).
Kunin shoots right. Sundqvist is 47.6% vs right-shot opponents (105).
Home / Away
Kunin
Sundqvist
Home
50.0% (178)
46.0% (189)
Away
50.8% (193)
47.8% (207)
By Period
Kunin
Sundqvist
P1
53.0%
44.7%
P2
53.8%
47.6%
P3
44.1%
48.6%
Final 5 min
52.4%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kunin
44.0%▼
49.5%
50.4%
Sundqvist
44.0%▼
49.5%
47.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2025 | 2 | 01:55 | Neutral | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 1 | 14:31 | Offensive | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 1 | 14:15 | Neutral | Oskar Sundqvist |