Scouting Report
Oskar Sundqvist holds a +10.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Sundqvist on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Sundqvist wins 46.7% vs left-shot opponents — Kelly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sundqvist 47.6% vs Kelly 41.5% (+10.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sundqvist 55.2%
Defensive zone
Sundqvist 86.0%
Neutral zone
Sundqvist 71.5%
Result
Oskar Sundqvist favored at 73.3%
73.3%
26.7%
Sundqvist
Kelly
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Sundqvist
Kelly
Last 6: Sundqvist 4-2 Kelly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Sundqvist
Kelly
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sundqvist
3
0
Sundqvist
Kelly
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kelly
0
1
Sundqvist
Kelly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sundqvist
Kelly
Edge
Even Strength
46.8% (301)
36.7% (158)
+10.1%
Power Play
80.0% (10)
0.0% (1)
+80.0%
Penalty Kill
43.5% (85)
38.5% (13)
+5.0%
On power play, Sundqvist has a +80.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kelly shoots left. Sundqvist is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (291).
Sundqvist shoots right. Kelly is 34.9% vs right-shot opponents (63).
Home / Away
Sundqvist
Kelly
Home
46.0% (189)
35.9% (78)
Away
47.8% (207)
37.2% (94)
By Period
Sundqvist
Kelly
P1
44.7%
34.3%
P2
47.6%
36.5%
P3
48.6%
39.6%
Final 5 min
50.6%
37.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sundqvist
44.0%▼
49.5%
47.0%
Kelly
46.0%▲
38.0%
36.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2025 | 2 | 16:58 | Offensive | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 2 | 14:06 | Offensive | Parker Kelly |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 1 | 18:09 | Defensive | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 1 | 09:31 | Defensive | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 1 | 03:44 | Neutral | Parker Kelly |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 1 | 01:47 | Defensive | Oskar Sundqvist |