Scouting Report
Peyton Krebs holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall. Kelly wins 37.6% vs left-shot opponents — Krebs shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kelly 41.5% vs Krebs 45.4% (-7.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Krebs 60.2%
Defensive zone
Krebs 67.3%
Neutral zone
Krebs 55.6%
Result
Peyton Krebs favored at 67.3%
32.7%
67.3%
Kelly
Krebs
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Kelly
Krebs
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kelly
1
0
Kelly
Krebs
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kelly
Krebs
Edge
Even Strength
36.7% (158)
44.4% (403)
-7.7%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
33.3% (6)
-33.3%
Penalty Kill
38.5% (13)
45.0% (20)
-6.5%
On power play, Krebs has a +33.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Krebs shoots left. Kelly is 37.6% vs left-shot opponents (109).
Kelly shoots left. Krebs is 43.6% vs left-shot opponents (291).
Home / Away
Kelly
Krebs
Home
35.9% (78)
46.3% (205)
Away
37.2% (94)
42.4% (224)
By Period
Kelly
Krebs
P1
34.3%
47.0%
P2
36.5%
45.4%
P3
39.6%
40.7%
Final 5 min
37.8%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kelly
46.0%▲
38.0%
36.6%
Krebs
48.0%▲
42.0%
44.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2025 | 2 | 15:05 | Defensive | Parker Kelly |