Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Bergeron on offensive-zone draws (74% H2H, 34 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.6% vs Bergeron 59.2% (-7.6%)
H2H factor
Bergeron leads 46-29 in 75 meetings
Offensive zone
Lowry 89.6%
Defensive zone
Lowry 96.1%
Neutral zone
Lowry 92.4%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 92.2%
92.2%
7.8%
Lowry
Bergeron
Head-to-Head Record
29
-
46
(75 meetings)
29
46
Lowry
Bergeron
Last 10: Lowry 1-9 Bergeron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
9
25
Lowry
Bergeron
34 total
Defensive Zone
Even
11
11
Lowry
Bergeron
22 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bergeron
9
10
Lowry
Bergeron
19 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Bergeron
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (9,162)
60.1% (13,938)
-7.2%
Power Play
57.2% (456)
60.8% (3,213)
-3.6%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (2,150)
53.0% (2,776)
-8.2%
On penalty kill, Bergeron has a +8.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bergeron shoots right. Lowry is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (4,010).
Lowry shoots left. Bergeron is 60.5% vs left-shot opponents (13,273).
Home / Away
Lowry
Bergeron
Home
53.5% (5,920)
61.2% (10,028)
Away
49.6% (5,848)
57.3% (9,930)
By Period
Lowry
Bergeron
P1
51.6%
59.3%
P2
51.7%
60.0%
P3
51.5%
58.6%
OT
46.3%
57.9%
Final 5 min
52.8%
58.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
52.0%▼
53.5%
51.6%
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
59.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 16, 2023 | 2 | 11:50 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 16, 2023 | 2 | 07:45 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 16, 2023 | 2 | 05:07 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 16, 2023 | 2 | 01:23 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 16, 2023 | 1 | 15:22 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 16, 2023 | 1 | 12:44 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 16, 2023 | 1 | 01:20 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 16, 2023 | 1 | 00:20 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 16, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 22, 2022 | 2 | 15:30 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 22, 2022 | 2 | 14:21 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 22, 2022 | 2 | 06:20 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 22, 2022 | 1 | 13:05 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 22, 2022 | 1 | 12:59 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 22, 2022 | 1 | 09:22 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 22, 2022 | 2 | 13:17 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 22, 2022 | 1 | 04:00 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 9, 2020 | 3 | 17:26 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 9, 2020 | 3 | 12:12 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |