Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +12.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Bergeron on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Flynn wins 42.3% vs right-shot opponents — Bergeron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Flynn 48.4% vs Bergeron 59.7% (-12.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Flynn 69.2%
Defensive zone
Flynn 77.7%
Neutral zone
Flynn 77.0%
Result
Brian Flynn favored at 74.0%
74.0%
26.0%
Flynn
Bergeron
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Flynn
Bergeron
Last 7: Flynn 2-5 Bergeron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
1
2
Flynn
Bergeron
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
1
2
Flynn
Bergeron
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bergeron
0
1
Flynn
Bergeron
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Flynn
Bergeron
Edge
Even Strength
47.4% (274)
60.5% (1,394)
-13.1%
Power Play
50.0% (30)
64.0% (300)
-14.0%
Penalty Kill
49.1% (55)
53.7% (255)
-4.6%
On power play, Bergeron has a +14.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bergeron shoots right. Flynn is 42.3% vs right-shot opponents (130).
Flynn shoots right. Bergeron is 60.6% vs right-shot opponents (716).
Home / Away
Flynn
Bergeron
Home
47.4% (211)
62.0% (949)
Away
48.6% (148)
58.6% (1,002)
By Period
Flynn
Bergeron
P1
47.8%
59.2%
P2
51.1%
63.9%
P3
43.4%
57.0%
OT
50.0%
68.6%
Final 5 min
44.3%
59.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Flynn
32.0%▼
50.5%
47.9%
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
60.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2014 | 1 | 18:16 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 21, 2014 | 1 | 05:32 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Oct 18, 2014 | 3 | 16:22 | Defensive | Brian Flynn |
| Oct 18, 2014 | 3 | 12:49 | Offensive | Brian Flynn |
| Oct 18, 2014 | 3 | 12:34 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Oct 18, 2014 | 2 | 13:44 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Oct 18, 2014 | 1 | 16:08 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |