Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +16.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Gionta on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gionta 46.6% vs Bergeron 59.6% (-16.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bergeron 89.1%
Defensive zone
Bergeron 97.0%
Neutral zone
Bergeron 95.5%
Result
Patrice Bergeron favored at 90.2%
9.8%
90.2%
Gionta
Bergeron
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Gionta
Bergeron
Last 6: Gionta 5-1 Bergeron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gionta
4
1
Gionta
Bergeron
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gionta
1
0
Gionta
Bergeron
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gionta
Bergeron
Edge
Even Strength
32.8% (58)
62.5% (1,254)
-29.7%
Power Play
63.9% (36)
60.1% (303)
+3.8%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (12)
48.2% (255)
-14.9%
On even strength, Bergeron has a +29.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bergeron shoots right. Gionta is 48.6% vs right-shot opponents (35).
Gionta shoots right. Bergeron is 56.1% vs right-shot opponents (642).
Home / Away
Gionta
Bergeron
Home
45.1% (51)
62.2% (902)
Away
41.8% (55)
58.0% (910)
By Period
Gionta
Bergeron
P1
48.3%
59.6%
P2
45.9%
60.4%
P3
37.5%
60.2%
Final 5 min
36.4%
59.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gionta
38.0%▼
42.5%
43.4%
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
60.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2016 | 3 | 09:50 | Neutral | Brian Gionta |
| Dec 31, 2016 | 3 | 09:43 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 29, 2016 | 3 | 00:17 | Offensive | Brian Gionta |
| Dec 29, 2016 | 1 | 04:24 | Offensive | Brian Gionta |
| Dec 29, 2016 | 1 | 04:13 | Offensive | Brian Gionta |
| Dec 29, 2016 | 1 | 02:26 | Offensive | Brian Gionta |