Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +17.2% FO% edge overall. Skinner wins 37.0% vs right-shot opponents — Bergeron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Skinner 45.2% vs Bergeron 58.8% (-17.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Skinner 72.8%
Defensive zone
Skinner 59.9%
Neutral zone
Skinner 67.7%
Result
Jeff Skinner favored at 66.8%
66.8%
33.2%
Skinner
Bergeron
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Skinner
Bergeron
Last 6: Skinner 2-4 Bergeron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Skinner
2
0
Skinner
Bergeron
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
0
2
Skinner
Bergeron
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bergeron
0
2
Skinner
Bergeron
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Skinner
Bergeron
Edge
Even Strength
41.6% (149)
61.6% (1,186)
-20.0%
Power Play
60.0% (5)
52.2% (201)
+7.8%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (5)
54.6% (240)
-14.6%
On even strength, Bergeron has a +20.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bergeron shoots right. Skinner is 37.0% vs right-shot opponents (46).
Skinner shoots left. Bergeron is 59.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,127).
Home / Away
Skinner
Bergeron
Home
46.8% (77)
61.7% (828)
Away
37.8% (82)
56.8% (813)
By Period
Skinner
Bergeron
P1
45.6%
58.5%
P2
40.4%
61.8%
P3
40.4%
57.8%
OT
33.3%
58.3%
Final 5 min
41.2%
58.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Skinner
44.0%▬
44.5%
42.1%
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
59.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2012 | 3 | 14:15 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 2, 2012 | 3 | 04:51 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 2, 2012 | 2 | 05:03 | Offensive | Jeff Skinner |
| Feb 2, 2012 | 2 | 04:43 | Offensive | Jeff Skinner |
| Feb 2, 2012 | 1 | 11:51 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 2, 2012 | 1 | 00:35 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |