Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +20.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Bergeron on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Hecht wins 39.1% vs right-shot opponents — Bergeron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hecht 43.5% vs Bergeron 60.9% (-20.5%)
H2H factor
Bergeron leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Bergeron 52.9%
Defensive zone
Hecht 73.1%
Neutral zone
Hecht 71.4%
Result
Jochen Hecht favored at 63.3%
63.3%
36.7%
Hecht
Bergeron
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
7
(11 meetings)
4
7
Hecht
Bergeron
Last 10: Hecht 3-7 Bergeron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
0
4
Hecht
Bergeron
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hecht
3
2
Hecht
Bergeron
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Hecht
Bergeron
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hecht
Bergeron
Edge
Even Strength
42.9% (273)
62.6% (660)
-19.7%
Power Play
16.7% (6)
59.8% (97)
-43.1%
Penalty Kill
39.2% (74)
61.4% (127)
-22.2%
On power play, Bergeron has a +43.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bergeron shoots right. Hecht is 39.1% vs right-shot opponents (128).
Hecht shoots left. Bergeron is 64.6% vs left-shot opponents (545).
Home / Away
Hecht
Bergeron
Home
44.2% (208)
67.0% (443)
Away
37.9% (145)
57.1% (441)
By Period
Hecht
Bergeron
P1
39.8%
63.7%
P2
39.1%
60.0%
P3
46.2%
63.2%
OT
0.0%
52.9%
Final 5 min
48.3%
66.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hecht
44.0%▲
41.5%
41.6%
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
62.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 17, 2013 | 2 | 19:39 | Defensive | Jochen Hecht |
| Apr 17, 2013 | 1 | 19:34 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Apr 17, 2013 | 1 | 19:26 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 31, 2013 | 3 | 15:44 | Neutral | Jochen Hecht |
| Mar 31, 2013 | 2 | 11:13 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 15, 2013 | 3 | 10:23 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 15, 2013 | 1 | 19:16 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 10, 2013 | 3 | 14:10 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 10, 2013 | 3 | 07:24 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 10, 2013 | 2 | 19:49 | Defensive | Jochen Hecht |
| Jan 31, 2013 | 3 | 11:25 | Defensive | Jochen Hecht |