Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Bergeron on defensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pavelski 52.2% vs Bergeron 59.6% (-7.6%)
H2H factor
Bergeron leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Pavelski 69.9%
Defensive zone
Pavelski 76.0%
Neutral zone
Pavelski 72.2%
Result
Joe Pavelski favored at 74.4%
74.4%
25.6%
Pavelski
Bergeron
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
8
(12 meetings)
4
8
Pavelski
Bergeron
Last 10: Pavelski 4-6 Bergeron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
2
0
Pavelski
Bergeron
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
1
7
Pavelski
Bergeron
8 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Pavelski
Bergeron
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pavelski
Bergeron
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (643)
62.5% (1,254)
-11.2%
Power Play
58.1% (172)
60.1% (303)
-2.0%
Penalty Kill
46.3% (41)
48.2% (255)
-1.9%
On even strength, Bergeron has a +11.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bergeron shoots right. Pavelski is 48.2% vs right-shot opponents (199).
Pavelski shoots right. Bergeron is 56.1% vs right-shot opponents (642).
Home / Away
Pavelski
Bergeron
Home
53.8% (431)
62.2% (902)
Away
51.1% (425)
58.0% (910)
By Period
Pavelski
Bergeron
P1
48.4%
59.6%
P2
52.0%
60.4%
P3
55.6%
60.2%
OT
80.0%
62.5%
Final 5 min
51.6%
59.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
52.5%
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
60.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2017 | 3 | 00:12 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 19, 2017 | 2 | 17:54 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 19, 2017 | 2 | 17:37 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 19, 2017 | 1 | 13:13 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 9, 2017 | 3 | 03:01 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 9, 2017 | 3 | 02:46 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 9, 2017 | 2 | 09:32 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 9, 2017 | 2 | 06:22 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 9, 2017 | 2 | 01:42 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 9, 2017 | 2 | 01:32 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 9, 2017 | 1 | 07:51 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 9, 2017 | 1 | 07:43 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |