Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +14.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Bergeron on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Okposo 47.6% vs Bergeron 60.5% (-14.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bergeron 58.0%
Defensive zone
Okposo 63.2%
Neutral zone
Okposo 57.0%
Result
Kyle Okposo favored at 58.9%
58.9%
41.1%
Okposo
Bergeron
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Okposo
Bergeron
Last 5: Okposo 2-3 Bergeron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Okposo
1
0
Okposo
Bergeron
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
1
3
Okposo
Bergeron
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Okposo
Bergeron
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (276)
62.5% (1,109)
-13.9%
Power Play
46.4% (28)
62.2% (352)
-15.8%
Penalty Kill
37.0% (46)
53.5% (245)
-16.5%
On penalty kill, Bergeron has a +16.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bergeron shoots right. Okposo is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (76).
Okposo shoots right. Bergeron is 56.1% vs right-shot opponents (528).
Home / Away
Okposo
Bergeron
Home
47.4% (156)
61.9% (917)
Away
46.4% (194)
60.2% (789)
By Period
Okposo
Bergeron
P1
45.8%
60.8%
P2
50.3%
60.3%
P3
41.4%
63.0%
OT
100.0%
51.5%
Final 5 min
43.5%
58.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Okposo
48.0%▬
49.0%
46.9%
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
61.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2023 | 3 | 07:28 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 2, 2023 | 2 | 14:05 | Offensive | Kyle Okposo |
| Mar 2, 2023 | 1 | 18:04 | Defensive | Kyle Okposo |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 2 | 03:37 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 2 | 03:29 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |