Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +12.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Bergeron on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Jokinen wins 43.7% vs right-shot opponents — Bergeron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jokinen 46.3% vs Bergeron 58.1% (-12.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jokinen 79.7%
Defensive zone
Jokinen 78.9%
Neutral zone
Jokinen 81.8%
Result
Olli Jokinen favored at 80.5%
80.5%
19.5%
Jokinen
Bergeron
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Jokinen
Bergeron
Last 7: Jokinen 2-5 Bergeron
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
1
2
Jokinen
Bergeron
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bergeron
1
3
Jokinen
Bergeron
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jokinen
Bergeron
Edge
Even Strength
45.3% (1,142)
59.4% (1,274)
-14.1%
Power Play
53.4% (131)
57.5% (193)
-4.1%
Penalty Kill
43.9% (57)
55.5% (265)
-11.6%
On even strength, Bergeron has a +14.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bergeron shoots right. Jokinen is 43.7% vs right-shot opponents (430).
Jokinen shoots left. Bergeron is 59.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,119).
Home / Away
Jokinen
Bergeron
Home
48.8% (692)
61.9% (837)
Away
42.9% (638)
55.5% (895)
By Period
Jokinen
Bergeron
P1
44.9%
60.1%
P2
45.7%
59.2%
P3
46.9%
56.6%
OT
60.0%
57.7%
Final 5 min
44.1%
55.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jokinen
38.0%▼
42.5%
46.0%
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
58.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2014 | 3 | 12:40 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 4, 2014 | 3 | 04:20 | Neutral | Olli Jokinen |
| Jan 4, 2014 | 3 | 04:12 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 4, 2014 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 4, 2014 | 2 | 14:13 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 4, 2014 | 2 | 11:05 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 4, 2014 | 1 | 07:35 | Defensive | Olli Jokinen |