Scouting Report
Jay McClement holds a +16.4% FO% edge overall. Look for McClement on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). McClement wins 57.2% vs left-shot opponents — Elias shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McClement 55.0% vs Elias 40.5% (+16.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McClement 76.4%
Defensive zone
McClement 95.1%
Neutral zone
McClement 91.5%
Result
Jay McClement favored at 86.6%
86.6%
13.4%
McClement
Elias
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
0
(7 meetings)
7
0
McClement
Elias
Last 7: McClement 7-0 Elias
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McClement
3
0
McClement
Elias
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McClement
3
0
McClement
Elias
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McClement
1
0
McClement
Elias
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McClement
Elias
Edge
Even Strength
57.1% (714)
39.3% (550)
+17.8%
Power Play
51.4% (37)
50.0% (60)
+1.4%
Penalty Kill
51.0% (239)
27.0% (63)
+24.0%
On penalty kill, McClement has a +24.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Elias shoots left. McClement is 57.2% vs left-shot opponents (640).
McClement shoots left. Elias is 37.9% vs left-shot opponents (451).
Home / Away
McClement
Elias
Home
55.8% (475)
39.1% (335)
Away
55.1% (515)
39.1% (338)
By Period
McClement
Elias
P1
55.6%
39.0%
P2
57.3%
35.4%
P3
53.2%
44.4%
OT
54.5%
25.0%
Final 5 min
54.7%
36.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McClement
48.0%▲
46.5%
55.5%
Elias
40.0%▲
37.5%
39.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2015 | 3 | 17:49 | Neutral | Jay McClement |
| Mar 28, 2015 | 3 | 15:28 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Mar 28, 2015 | 3 | 00:38 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Mar 28, 2015 | 2 | 02:36 | Offensive | Jay McClement |
| Mar 28, 2015 | 1 | 13:33 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Feb 21, 2015 | 3 | 16:23 | Offensive | Jay McClement |
| Feb 21, 2015 | 1 | 03:52 | Offensive | Jay McClement |