Scouting Report
Shawn Matthias holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Matthias on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Elias wins 45.2% vs left-shot opponents — Matthias shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Elias 44.5% vs Matthias 49.5% (-5.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Elias 53.5%
Defensive zone
Elias 50.5%
Neutral zone
Matthias 52.5%
Result
Shawn Matthias favored at 50.5%
49.5%
50.5%
Elias
Matthias
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Elias
Matthias
Last 6: Elias 3-3 Matthias
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Elias
1
0
Elias
Matthias
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Elias
Matthias
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Matthias
1
2
Elias
Matthias
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Elias
Matthias
Edge
Even Strength
44.7% (954)
49.4% (510)
-4.7%
Power Play
46.9% (196)
55.3% (38)
-8.4%
Penalty Kill
36.1% (180)
46.5% (43)
-10.4%
On penalty kill, Matthias has a +10.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Matthias shoots left. Elias is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (882).
Elias shoots left. Matthias is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (390).
Home / Away
Elias
Matthias
Home
46.0% (692)
47.6% (315)
Away
42.2% (677)
51.4% (282)
By Period
Elias
Matthias
P1
40.7%
50.0%
P2
46.8%
51.9%
P3
44.0%
45.8%
OT
53.3%
75.0%
Final 5 min
41.5%
39.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Elias
40.0%▲
37.5%
44.1%
Matthias
40.0%▼
41.5%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2012 | 3 | 07:31 | Defensive | Patrik Elias |
| Dec 13, 2011 | 3 | 18:00 | Offensive | Patrik Elias |
| Dec 13, 2011 | 2 | 16:30 | Neutral | Shawn Matthias |
| Dec 13, 2011 | 2 | 05:40 | Defensive | Shawn Matthias |
| Nov 21, 2011 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrik Elias |
| Nov 21, 2011 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Shawn Matthias |