Scouting Report
Tommy Novak holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall. Laine wins 32.3% vs left-shot opponents — Novak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Laine 38.2% vs Novak 43.0% (-7.8%)
Offensive zone
Laine 55.1%
Defensive zone
Novak 56.1%
Neutral zone
Laine 53.8%
Result
Patrik Laine favored at 50.9%
50.9%
49.1%
Laine
Novak
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Laine
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
34.4% (288)
41.8% (1,568)
-7.4%
Power Play
36.1% (61)
51.5% (134)
-15.4%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (4)
50.0% (2)
+0.0%
On power play, Novak has a +15.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Laine is 32.3% vs left-shot opponents (229).
Laine shoots right. Novak is 41.6% vs right-shot opponents (611).
Home / Away
Laine
Novak
Home
37.2% (191)
45.1% (831)
Away
32.1% (162)
40.2% (873)
By Period
Laine
Novak
P1
37.1%
43.7%
P2
32.1%
42.8%
P3
34.0%
41.1%
OT
50.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
36.1%
40.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Laine
42.0%▲
38.0%
34.8%
Novak
32.0%▼
39.5%
42.6%