Scouting Report
Paul Gaustad holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaustad on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Vermette wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Gaustad shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vermette 55.2% vs Gaustad 59.0% (-4.2%)
H2H factor
Gaustad leads 10-3 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Vermette 82.0%
Defensive zone
Gaustad 57.6%
Neutral zone
Vermette 54.3%
Result
Antoine Vermette favored at 60.4%
60.4%
39.6%
Vermette
Gaustad
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
10
(13 meetings)
3
10
Vermette
Gaustad
Last 10: Vermette 2-8 Gaustad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gaustad
2
3
Vermette
Gaustad
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaustad
0
5
Vermette
Gaustad
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaustad
1
2
Vermette
Gaustad
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vermette
Gaustad
Edge
Even Strength
55.6% (1,107)
58.6% (790)
-3.0%
Power Play
55.4% (278)
66.7% (93)
-11.3%
Penalty Kill
55.4% (139)
61.0% (269)
-5.6%
On power play, Gaustad has a +11.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaustad shoots left. Vermette is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,058).
Vermette shoots left. Gaustad is 59.5% vs left-shot opponents (767).
Home / Away
Vermette
Gaustad
Home
55.8% (749)
60.6% (554)
Away
55.4% (791)
58.9% (604)
By Period
Vermette
Gaustad
P1
54.9%
61.3%
P2
59.2%
55.5%
P3
52.5%
62.3%
OT
55.3%
75.0%
Final 5 min
53.5%
58.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vermette
58.0%▼
62.0%
55.6%
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
59.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2011 | 3 | 12:32 | Offensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Apr 9, 2011 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Antoine Vermette |
| Apr 9, 2011 | 2 | 19:30 | Offensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Apr 9, 2011 | 2 | 17:46 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Apr 9, 2011 | 2 | 04:15 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Apr 9, 2011 | 1 | 15:16 | Offensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Apr 9, 2011 | 1 | 07:12 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Dec 3, 2010 | 3 | 12:31 | Offensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Dec 3, 2010 | 3 | 08:57 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Dec 3, 2010 | 3 | 04:36 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Dec 3, 2010 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Dec 3, 2010 | 1 | 18:26 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Dec 3, 2010 | 1 | 09:53 | Offensive | Antoine Vermette |