Scouting Report
Paul Gaustad holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Wagner on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Wagner wins 57.1% vs left-shot opponents — Gaustad shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wagner 52.9% vs Gaustad 54.7% (-1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Result
Paul Gaustad favored at 51.8%
48.2%
51.8%
Wagner
Gaustad
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Wagner
Gaustad
Last 5: Wagner 4-1 Gaustad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Wagner
3
0
Wagner
Gaustad
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaustad
0
1
Wagner
Gaustad
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Wagner
1
0
Wagner
Gaustad
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wagner
Gaustad
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (258)
56.2% (603)
-0.8%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
71.4% (21)
-71.4%
Penalty Kill
35.7% (14)
49.3% (148)
-13.6%
On power play, Gaustad has a +71.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaustad shoots left. Wagner is 57.1% vs left-shot opponents (184).
Wagner shoots right. Gaustad is 55.1% vs right-shot opponents (287).
Home / Away
Wagner
Gaustad
Home
56.7% (120)
55.5% (366)
Away
51.9% (154)
55.2% (406)
By Period
Wagner
Gaustad
P1
53.6%
55.0%
P2
53.7%
56.9%
P3
54.9%
53.7%
Final 5 min
62.3%
55.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wagner
40.0%▼
49.5%
54.0%
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 12, 2015 | 1 | 15:11 | Offensive | Chris Wagner |
| Nov 1, 2015 | 2 | 13:54 | Neutral | Chris Wagner |
| Nov 1, 2015 | 1 | 13:59 | Offensive | Chris Wagner |
| Nov 1, 2015 | 1 | 08:43 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Nov 1, 2015 | 1 | 08:31 | Offensive | Chris Wagner |