Scouting Report
Paul Gaustad holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaustad on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cullen 53.6% vs Gaustad 57.6% (-4.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cullen 81.8%
Defensive zone
Cullen 54.8%
Neutral zone
Cullen 59.2%
Result
Matt Cullen favored at 63.1%
63.1%
36.9%
Cullen
Gaustad
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Cullen
Gaustad
Last 7: Cullen 2-5 Gaustad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cullen
2
0
Cullen
Gaustad
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaustad
0
4
Cullen
Gaustad
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaustad
0
1
Cullen
Gaustad
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cullen
Gaustad
Edge
Even Strength
54.8% (5,371)
58.2% (4,334)
-3.4%
Power Play
52.3% (421)
65.4% (188)
-13.1%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (953)
54.8% (1,290)
-6.8%
On power play, Gaustad has a +13.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaustad shoots left. Cullen is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (4,432).
Cullen shoots left. Gaustad is 58.0% vs left-shot opponents (3,774).
Home / Away
Cullen
Gaustad
Home
55.8% (3,288)
59.5% (2,929)
Away
51.6% (3,488)
55.9% (2,897)
By Period
Cullen
Gaustad
P1
54.7%
58.2%
P2
52.8%
56.4%
P3
53.3%
58.3%
OT
62.7%
66.0%
Final 5 min
53.7%
57.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cullen
58.0%▲
53.5%
53.6%
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
57.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2015 | 1 | 10:18 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 9, 2013 | 3 | 10:53 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 9, 2013 | 3 | 07:17 | Offensive | Matt Cullen |
| Mar 9, 2013 | 2 | 01:48 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 9, 2013 | 3 | 19:02 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 6, 2011 | 2 | 16:01 | Offensive | Matt Cullen |
| Mar 6, 2011 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |