Scouting Report
Paul Gaustad holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Hendricks wins 55.2% vs left-shot opponents — Gaustad shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hendricks 53.3% vs Gaustad 57.6% (-4.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hendricks 71.1%
Defensive zone
Gaustad 52.8%
Neutral zone
Gaustad 52.0%
Result
Matt Hendricks favored at 59.2%
59.2%
40.8%
Hendricks
Gaustad
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Hendricks
Gaustad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hendricks
1
0
Hendricks
Gaustad
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaustad
0
1
Hendricks
Gaustad
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hendricks
Gaustad
Edge
Even Strength
55.0% (1,616)
58.2% (4,334)
-3.2%
Power Play
52.6% (38)
65.4% (188)
-12.8%
Penalty Kill
48.4% (446)
54.8% (1,290)
-6.4%
On power play, Gaustad has a +12.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaustad shoots left. Hendricks is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,233).
Hendricks shoots left. Gaustad is 58.0% vs left-shot opponents (3,774).
Home / Away
Hendricks
Gaustad
Home
52.6% (1,023)
59.5% (2,929)
Away
54.3% (1,080)
55.9% (2,897)
By Period
Hendricks
Gaustad
P1
53.2%
58.2%
P2
53.3%
56.4%
P3
53.6%
58.3%
OT
75.0%
66.0%
Final 5 min
51.7%
57.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hendricks
60.0%▲
50.5%
53.4%
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
57.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2016 | 3 | 12:41 | Offensive | Matt Hendricks |
| Nov 26, 2011 | 1 | 08:07 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |