Scouting Report
Paul Gaustad holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaustad on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 12 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Handzus 51.4% vs Gaustad 57.6% (-6.2%)
H2H factor
Gaustad leads 15-5 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Handzus 92.4%
Defensive zone
Handzus 81.2%
Neutral zone
Handzus 80.0%
Result
Michal Handzus favored at 85.0%
85.0%
15.0%
Handzus
Gaustad
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
15
(20 meetings)
5
15
Handzus
Gaustad
Last 10: Handzus 0-10 Gaustad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Handzus
5
2
Handzus
Gaustad
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaustad
0
12
Handzus
Gaustad
12 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaustad
0
1
Handzus
Gaustad
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Handzus
Gaustad
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (2,438)
58.2% (4,334)
-6.7%
Power Play
58.0% (286)
65.4% (188)
-7.4%
Penalty Kill
47.3% (471)
54.8% (1,290)
-7.5%
On penalty kill, Gaustad has a +7.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaustad shoots left. Handzus is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,162).
Handzus shoots left. Gaustad is 58.0% vs left-shot opponents (3,774).
Home / Away
Handzus
Gaustad
Home
52.2% (1,736)
59.5% (2,929)
Away
50.6% (1,481)
55.9% (2,897)
By Period
Handzus
Gaustad
P1
52.5%
58.2%
P2
53.7%
56.4%
P3
48.4%
58.3%
OT
41.7%
66.0%
Final 5 min
52.0%
57.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Handzus
50.0%▼
51.5%
51.5%
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
57.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2014 | 1 | 18:51 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Dec 17, 2013 | 3 | 16:50 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Dec 17, 2013 | 3 | 11:25 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 2, 2013 | 2 | 08:01 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 2, 2013 | 1 | 02:44 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 12, 2013 | 3 | 10:18 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 12, 2013 | 3 | 01:05 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 12, 2013 | 2 | 17:46 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 12, 2013 | 2 | 08:22 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 2, 2013 | 3 | 16:52 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 2, 2013 | 2 | 19:28 | Offensive | Michal Handzus |
| Feb 2, 2013 | 2 | 19:22 | Offensive | Michal Handzus |
| Feb 2, 2013 | 2 | 07:25 | Offensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 2, 2013 | 1 | 15:44 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 2, 2013 | 1 | 04:53 | Offensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Nov 19, 2010 | 3 | 19:32 | Offensive | Michal Handzus |
| Nov 19, 2010 | 3 | 19:28 | Offensive | Michal Handzus |
| Nov 19, 2010 | 2 | 08:43 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Nov 19, 2010 | 2 | 04:20 | Offensive | Michal Handzus |
| Nov 19, 2010 | 1 | 16:07 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |