Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +10.8% FO% edge overall. Belzile wins 46.8% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Belzile 47.9% vs Stastny 56.3% (-10.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stastny 88.5%
Defensive zone
Belzile 51.9%
Neutral zone
Stastny 62.3%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 69.9%
30.1%
69.9%
Belzile
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Belzile
Stastny
Last 5: Belzile 3-2 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Belzile
Stastny
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Belzile
1
0
Belzile
Stastny
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Belzile
Stastny
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Belzile
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
48.2% (191)
57.5% (412)
-9.3%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
60.0% (65)
-26.7%
Penalty Kill
27.3% (11)
44.4% (9)
-17.1%
On power play, Stastny has a +26.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Belzile is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (139).
Belzile shoots right. Stastny is 59.2% vs right-shot opponents (196).
Home / Away
Belzile
Stastny
Home
53.3% (107)
58.3% (276)
Away
39.8% (98)
56.7% (210)
By Period
Belzile
Stastny
P1
42.9%
63.7%
P2
46.6%
57.3%
P3
51.4%
50.4%
Final 5 min
46.8%
56.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Belzile
54.0%▲
48.0%
46.8%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
57.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2023 | 2 | 10:02 | Defensive | Alex Belzile |
| Mar 7, 2023 | 3 | 12:44 | Offensive | Alex Belzile |
| Mar 7, 2023 | 1 | 16:16 | Neutral | Alex Belzile |
| Feb 16, 2023 | 3 | 19:40 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 16, 2023 | 1 | 13:24 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |