Casey Mittelstadt vs Paul Stastny
2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +11.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Mittelstadt wins 44.9% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 45.7% vs Stastny 55.4% (-11.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 73.5%
Defensive zone
Mittelstadt 71.8%
Neutral zone
Mittelstadt 69.6%
Result
Casey Mittelstadt favored at 70.5%
70.5%
29.5%
Mittelstadt
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Mittelstadt
Stastny
Last 5: Mittelstadt 1-4 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
2
Mittelstadt
Stastny
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
1
2
Mittelstadt
Stastny
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (351)
59.2% (370)
-13.3%
Power Play
47.3% (74)
40.9% (44)
+6.4%
Penalty Kill
22.2% (27)
51.7% (58)
-29.5%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +29.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Mittelstadt is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (274).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Stastny is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (286).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Stastny
Home
47.2% (193)
57.7% (215)
Away
42.9% (259)
55.6% (257)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Stastny
P1
49.0%
57.7%
P2
45.7%
54.2%
P3
38.8%
57.7%
OT
50.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
41.7%
57.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
48.0%▼
53.0%
44.7%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
56.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2022 | 3 | 03:38 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 30, 2022 | 2 | 08:24 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Mar 30, 2022 | 1 | 07:30 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 30, 2022 | 1 | 04:12 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 30, 2022 | 1 | 00:56 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |